Fundstrat World Advisors’ Tom Lee and analysts from Bernstein predict sturdy markets heading into 2025, whatever the outcomes of the upcoming US presidential election.
Whereas Lee expects a broader market rally throughout sectors, Bernstein highlighted Bitcoin’s (BTC) resilience amid political uncertainty.
Tom Lee, managing associate and head of analysis at Fundstrat, not too long ago shared his views on CNBC, stating that favorable financial fundamentals and a dovish Federal Reserve place make a powerful case for a year-end rally.
Based on Lee, sidelined money might move again into the market as election-related uncertainty clears up. He stated:
“I’m bullish solely within the sense that election uncertainty has triggered individuals to derisk and money to take a seat on the sidelines, however the fundamentals have been good.”
Lee referenced robust earnings experiences and Fed assist as robust drivers as soon as the uncertainty round elections subsides. He believes that even with a divided or unified authorities, markets might carry out nicely by way of the tip of 2024 and past.
Bitcoin to resist political shifts
Lee’s feedback come alongside Bernstein’s outlook on Bitcoin, which they are saying stays poised to resist political shifts.
In a word launched on Nov. 4, Bernstein analysts highlighted Bitcoin’s structural drivers, together with US fiscal coverage, report debt ranges, and elevated demand for onerous property, as components supporting its long-term progress.
Based on Bernstein, “Bitcoin stays probably the most resilient inside crypto,” and its restricted market share in comparison with international fiscal property leaves ample room for progress. The agency has set a worth goal of $200,000 for Bitcoin by 2025, anticipating the digital asset’s enchantment in an atmosphere of fiscal indiscipline and financial enlargement.
Bernstein analysts additionally famous that Bitcoin’s current ETF adoption — bringing in over $23 billion in year-to-date inflows — might add to its momentum, no matter who wins the presidency.
They see a possible preliminary worth response relying on the election final result, with a Trump victory probably pushing Bitcoin towards new highs of $80,000 to $90,000, whereas a Harris win might initially result in a dip close to $50,000. The analysts emphasised that Trump’s perceived pro-crypto stance contrasts with Harris’s reportedly hawkish place.