“Congratulations to miner bc1q~g4m7 for fixing the 321st block—one more tremendous fortunate one at CKPool Solo with ~161TH of hashrate on a 161TH employee! A miner of this measurement has a couple of one in 126 probability of fixing a block in a 12 months.”
Bitcoin Mining’s Lottery Gives Higher Odds Than Powerball
The arithmetic paint an enchanting image, as mining behemoths resembling Foundry and Antpool seize the overwhelming majority of blocks, but impartial miners nonetheless maintain a ticket in each 10-minute lottery—with 161 TH/s of computing energy translating into roughly a 1-in-126 probability of discovering a block over 12 months. For perspective, the percentages of claiming the Mega Tens of millions jackpot stand at 1 in 290,472,336, whereas Powerball presents a good steeper problem at roughly 1 in 292.2 million.
That provides this explicit miner roughly 44 occasions higher odds in a single 10-minute contest than somebody holding one Powerball ticket. Prolong the comparability throughout a complete 12 months, and an individual buying a Powerball ticket for all three weekly drawings faces roughly 1-in-1.9-million odds, making the miner’s 1-in-126 likelihood practically 15,000 occasions extra favorable. The catch, naturally, lies within the measurement of the windfall.
At present bitcoin costs, a efficiently mined block delivers 3.125 BTC plus transaction charges, putting the reward close to $230,000 with bitcoin buying and selling simply above $73,500. It’s definitely sufficient to rework somebody’s funds, even when the payout falls significantly in need of a nine-figure lottery fortune.
Are Solo Bitcoin Miners Proving the Skeptics Mistaken?
Nonetheless, solo miners proceed to steal the highlight. Simply days in the past, shortly after Bitcoin.com Information documented 36 independently mined blocks this 12 months, that very same night, one other lucky CKPool Solo participant added block 974930 to the rising tally.
That brings the 12 months’s complete to 38 blocks found by solo miners since January 2026, a formidable testomony to the persistence of impartial operators. The attract of solo mining has more and more captivated cryptocurrency fanatics, with new mining swimming pools and miniature application-specific built-in circuit (ASIC) gadgets seemingly rising from each nook of the trade.
Every new block found by a solo miner solely deepens that fascination, difficult the long-standing narrative that dwelling mining and impartial bitcoin mining have been consigned to the dustbin of historical past.
