Since our final yr’s roundup of Bitcoin mining shares, TeraWulf (NASDAQ: WULF) inventory worth has doubled, having gone from $4.39 to the present $8.98 per share. Throughout this rise, the Maryland-based firm diversified into two core subsidiaries: WULF Compute and WULF Mining.
Whereas WULF Mining continues Bitcoin mining operations, benefiting from BTC worth rise, WULF Compute is providing knowledge facilities for high-performance computing (HPC) and AI workloads. This twin focus makes TeraWulf a sexy candidate for traders searching for publicity not solely to Bitcoin’s function as a hedge in opposition to central banking, but in addition to the secular development of the AI/HPC megatrend.
Latest Massive Tech funding in WULF inventory makes it even clearer. The corporate’s dual-track mannequin of Bitcoin mining and AI/HPC internet hosting has gained validation past the crypto area of interest. In fact, the very best time for WULF publicity was final yr after we coated it, however what can traders count on subsequent?
TeraWulf as Beneficiary of Alphabet’s Knowledge Middle Diversification
For 2025 alone, Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) dedicated round $75 billion to spice up its knowledge heart capability. Throughout April’s Google Cloud Subsequent convention, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai famous that “the chance with AI is as massive because it will get.”
Nevertheless, the Massive Tech big will not be solely investing in its personal cloud computing division to fulfill AI demand. In mid-August, for its Q2 2025 earnings, TeraWulf revealed a $1.8 billion backstop of Fluidstack’s lease obligations offered by Google.
TeraWulf’s cope with Fluidstack for HPC/AI workloads is value $3.7 billion in income over two contracts’ 10-year phrases, with an possibility for 2 five-year extensions, doubtlessly upping the worth to $8.7 billion. That is the place Google stepped in to finance debt by buying ~41 million WULF shares, or round 8% of TeraWulf’s fairness stake.
On the bottom, Fluidstack will make the most of TeraWulf’s Lake Mariner knowledge heart campus in Western New York, delivering over 200 MW of pc energy.
On condition that Fluidstack is Nvidia’s companion, alongside Dell and Borealis Knowledge Middle for exascale GPU clusters, this makes TeraWulf a crucial second-order beneficiary of the AI increase. With Google successfully underwriting the enterprise, the corporate is tapping into one of many fastest-growing demand curves in tech by positioning itself as hyperscaler-adjacent.
TeraWulf’s Whole Addressable Market
In its Power and AI report, the Worldwide Power Company (IEA) projected a 70% knowledge heart electrical energy consumption rise between 2024 and 2030, as the bottom case. The US would lead this effort, abandoning Europe and China, which is why President Trump issued a number of govt orders to tear down bureaucratic hurdles, particularly because it pertains to nuclear power.
In response to McKinsey & Firm, this demand would account for $6.7 trillion value of compute energy by 2030. For AI workloads particularly, the market worth is forecasted to vary between $3 trillion to $8 trillion in capital expenditures (capex). This largely is dependent upon AI optimization and important discount of AI confabulation in order that AI fashions are correct and reliable.
If the latter state of affairs is profitable, mass adoption of AI is predicted in enterprise integration. Nevertheless, even when there’s stalling on this accuracy space, it bears remembering that compute demand varies vastly between textual content, picture and video era.
In response to IEA, textual content era requires round 0.3 Wh of power per job by a small language mannequin (SLM), whereas picture era calls for 1.7 Wh. Video era is 2 orders of magnitudes better, exerting round 115 Wh for a 6-second low high quality video. For comparability, charging a smartphone requires 15 Wh.
On condition that there isn’t a space of human exercise by which AI couldn’t be included, it’s secure to say that TeraWulf sits on the nexus of two secular development curves – AI adoption and clear power infrastructure for Bitcoin mining.
TeraWulf’s Prospects and Worth Goal
In Q2 2025, TeraWulf mined 485 BTC, on the aforementioned Lake Mariner facility. Though this was decrease than 699 BTC within the year-ago quarter, it was anticipated after divesting from Nautilus Cryptomine final October.
But, given Bitcoin’s shortage and rising institutionalization, which drives its worth, TeraWulf’s self-mined BTC worth grew from $46.1 million to $47.6 million in that interval. General, the corporate elevated its clear BTC mining capability 45.5% year-over-year to 12.8 EH/s.
After securing Cayuga website with an 80-year lease in Lansing, the corporate added 400 MW of HPC/AI capability. By 2030, TeraWulf’s complete gross capability ought to be 1,150 MW, divided between Lake Mariner’s 750 MW and Cayuga’s 400 MW.
As of Q2, TeraWulf holds $90 million in money and BTC, whereas having a $500 million complete excellent debt. VanEck maintains its BTC worth prediction from late 2024, forecasting $180,000 per BTC by the yr’s finish. This worth goal is now likelier, contemplating that the Fed is signaling price cuts regardless of rising inflation considerations.
In flip, TeraWulf’s debt load to scale up AI demand ought to be manageable. In response to WSJ’s forecasting knowledge, all analysts are within the “purchase” camp, placing the typical WULF worth goal at $11.92. The underside outlook is $6.5, whereas the ceiling worth goal for WULF inventory is $14 per share.
Disclaimer: The writer doesn’t maintain or have a place in any securities mentioned within the article. All inventory costs had been quoted on the time of writing.
