Blockchain analytics agency Arkham has launched an Elo type ranking system designed to match prediction market merchants primarily based on accuracy.
INTRODUCING: PREDICTION MARKET ELO
Some merchants persistently win on Polymarket, guess after guess.
We’ve created prediction market efficiency rankings (Elo) on Arkham Intel that will help you discover them. Right here’s the way it works: pic.twitter.com/NWg9WXxJIA
— Arkham (@arkham) June 29, 2026
Right predictions improve a dealer’s rating relative to different members. Profitable calls made at decrease implied possibilities obtain a bigger enhance than outcomes the market already thought-about doubtless.
The system doesn’t contemplate guess dimension, permitting smaller merchants with stronger win charges to rank above bigger members producing extra revenue by greater positions.
Arkham mentioned the rankings are supposed to separate constant forecasting efficiency from complete revenue and buying and selling quantity.
Nonetheless, accuracy alone could not present an entire view of efficiency. The ranking doesn’t account for place sizing, threat administration or the worth misplaced on unsuccessful trades
