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Reading: Is the 10-Year ETH/BTC Downtrend Finally Breaking?
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Your Crypto News Today > News > Crypto > Ethereum > Is the 10-Year ETH/BTC Downtrend Finally Breaking?
Ethereum

Is the 10-Year ETH/BTC Downtrend Finally Breaking?

August 25, 2026 2 Min Read
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Bitcoin surged towards $80,000 this week as billions of {dollars} in brief positions had been liquidated and spot demand returned to the market, prompting renewed debate over whether or not the latest downturn has already bottomed. However whereas Bitcoin dominated headlines, analyst John Gillen on Milk Street Present argued Ethereum could also be quietly positioning for a extra vital shift relative to Bitcoin.

On the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling barely beneath the $80K mark.

The Case for Bitcoin’s Brief-Time period Momentum

John mentioned the market’s latest value motion has shifted his personal learn on the place Bitcoin is headed. Requested to foretell Bitcoin’s value per week out, he mentioned:

  • He expects Bitcoin to commerce above $82,000 inside per week
  • He framed the present setup as a “coin toss” between the market breaking again right into a bull development or failing to carry
  • He mentioned momentum and FOMO look like profitable out for now, although he was not sure the transfer would maintain

Why Ethereum Could Be Value Watching

Requested how Ethereum stacks up towards Bitcoin, the visitor was cautious to not declare a “flippening” is imminent, however pointed to some particular alerts:

  • Sector dominance: He mentioned nearly all of exercise in tokenization, stablecoins, and what he referred to as “agentic finance” nonetheless occurs on Ethereum, which continues to carry its lead in these classes
  • Technical breakout: The ETH/BTC ratio, which he mentioned has been in a downtrend for roughly ten years, has just lately damaged out of that development
  • Warning on follow-through: He flagged the breakout may nonetheless be false, and that Ethereum’s ratio towards Bitcoin may retest the prior downtrend earlier than any sustained shift performs out

He was specific that this isn’t a assure Ethereum will outperform Bitcoin this cycle, however mentioned the mixture of a technical breakout and Ethereum’s underlying use case publicity is price monitoring given how vital a shift in market management can be.

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