Patrons would then face resistance between $2,351 and $2,360. The 100-day EMA sits at $2,351.54, whereas the 20-day EMA and Bollinger Band midline each sit close to $2,359. Above that vary, the subsequent hurdles are the 50-day EMA at $2,414.92 and a falling trendline close to $2,440.
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Whereas $ETH trades under $2,315, a November retest of $2,222 seems to be extra seemingly than a rally above $2,415. The decrease Bollinger Band sits at $2,222. A day by day shut under it might deliver the late-October low close to $2,170 again into view.
$ETH Assist and Resistance Ranges, November 2026
US Spot Ethereum ETFs Put up Their Largest Month-to-month Outflow as a Three-Month Influx Run Ends
US spot Ethereum ETFs misplaced $1.61B in October, ending three straight months of inflows that took in about $3.05B between July and September. A report on the flows calls it the biggest month-to-month outflow because the funds launched in July 2024.
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It got here as $ETH fell 16.1%, its weakest October since 2016. Cumulative web inflows slipped to $12.29B, and complete web property dropped about 25% to $13.22B from $17.60B on the finish of September.
Raoul Pal Frames an $18,000 Ethereum State of affairs Round Authorities Debt Refinancing
A Crypto Nutshell video constructed on Raoul Pal’s Token2049 keynote and later interviews argues that refinancing US authorities debt will maintain pushing new liquidity into markets. It cites a Joint Financial Committee estimate that a couple of third of US marketable debt matures inside 12 months, with complete federal debt above $40 trillion.
- Charges: Pal expects the subsequent 100 foundation factors of Fed strikes to be cuts slightly than hikes, after the September hike to a 3.75% to 4% vary.
- Ethereum hyperlink: The video says about $300 billion of stablecoins are in circulation and roughly 48% sit on Ethereum, citing DefiLlama.
- State of affairs: In Pal’s trend-channel work, $ETH reaches about $18,000 across the second quarter of 2027 if it tops out one customary deviation above development. He additionally confirmed an excessive case close to $60,000 that he mentioned isn’t a prediction.
From $2,283.30, the $18,000 situation could be about 7.9 instances right this moment’s worth.
Ethereum Fell 16.1% in October. How Usually Does It Rebound in November?
$ETH fell 16.1% in October, its third straight October loss. Solely October 2016 was worse in CryptoRank’s 12-year file, when $ETH fell 16.7%. The median October achieve was 1.42%.
$ETH has gained 4.03% on common in November, however it rose in solely 5 of 11 years. Three huge rallies clarify the hole. $ETH gained 58.7% in 2020, 47.4% in 2024 and 46.2% in 2017. It misplaced about 13% on common throughout the opposite eight Novembers.
After an October loss, $ETH fell once more in November in three of 4 earlier instances. The 2024 rally was the one exception. $ETH additionally fell in each earlier U.S. midterm Novembers, dropping 42.5% in 2018 and 17.6% in 2022.
What would these returns imply from $2,283?
- Draw back: A repeat of November’s median lack of 1.96% would put $ETH close to $2,239, simply above assist at $2,222.
- Upside: A repeat of November’s common achieve of 4.03% would put $ETH close to $2,375. Patrons would first must clear the 200-day EMA close to $2,315, then resistance round $2,359.
Ethereum Value Prediction: Week-by-Week Forecast for November 2026
The bottom case has $ETH capped under the $2,315 to $2,360 cluster, retesting the $2,222 decrease band at the very least as soon as, and ending the month in a $2,200 to $2,400 vary.
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FAQs
$ETH stays bearish under $2,315 and will transfer towards $2,415 if it closes above the 200-day EMA and the 20-day EMA at $2,359. A day by day shut under the decrease Bollinger Band at $2,222 would put the $2,170 late-October low in play.
November has been combined, with a median return of -1.96% and solely 5 of 11 accomplished Novembers constructive, in line with CryptoRank knowledge. The +4.03% common is lifted by 2020, 2024 and 2017, and $ETH fell in each midterm-year Novembers on file, 2018 and 2022.
US spot Ethereum ETFs misplaced $1.61B in October, ending three straight months of inflows, in line with SoSoValue. Cumulative web inflows now stand at $12.29B.
$ETH fell 16.1% in October, its weakest October since 2016, in line with CryptoRank knowledge, whereas US spot Ethereum ETFs misplaced $1.61B. The chart exhibits worth under all 4 day by day EMAs, however not one of the knowledge on this evaluation ties the drop to a single trigger.
