October has been a brutal month this yr for the crypto market, with Bitcoin hitting a brand new all-time excessive at $126,295 originally of it, solely to set a low not seen since July at $102,329 only a couple days later. Proper now, as “Uptober” nears an finish, everybody’s eyes are on what November is readying for the main cryptocurrency.
The heatmap by CryptoRank of month-to-month returns is stuffed with pink and inexperienced patches, however November stands out, with a mean acquire of over 40% throughout the years.
In truth, Bitcoin’s efficiency in November is without doubt one of the most constant intervals of progress in its historical past. Again in 2013, the coin went up by a whopping 453.9%, setting a precedent that echoed via later cycles.
In November 2020, Bitcoin went up 42.9%, and in 2017, virtually 59%. The sample has solely been damaged just a few instances, with far fewer Novembers printing pink in comparison with inexperienced, making the statistical tilt closely bullish.
“Santa rally” in November
The 2025 setup can be distinctive. After spending many of the yr climbing out of correction phases and consolidations, Bitcoin is now getting into November with traders already cautiously whispering about the opportunity of a repeat of the historic “Santa rally.”
With common positive aspects throughout its historical past hitting 40.5% and a median near 10%, even a conservative studying of the worth historical past appears to be like to be in bulls’ favor.
Value historical past doesn’t assure outcomes, particularly in such a chaotic setting as crypto, however when the identical month retains signaling inexperienced throughout cycles, it’s greater than a coincidence.
If Bitcoin follows its seasonal rhythm, November 2025 could possibly be the time when it actually takes off and makes this yr one other memorable one for the cryptocurrency.
