Bitcoin’s bull cycle is approaching its remaining stage after 997 days for the reason that cycle backside on November 21, 2022.
This implies the height might happen inside 70 days, probably between October 15 and November 15, 2025.
Bitcoin Cycle Peak in October–November 2025
In a current commentary of Bitcoin’s historic cycles, analyst CryptoBirb shared some notable insights.
Historic knowledge offered by this analyst outlines the size of previous bull cycles: 2010–2011 (~350 days); 2011–2013 (~746 days); 2015–2017 (~1,068 days); 2018–2021 (~1,061 days). If historical past repeats, the present cycle is projected to final round 1,060–1,100 days.
As of now, counting from the earlier cycle backside on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin’s bull run has lasted 997 days and is nearing its remaining part. The height might seem throughout the subsequent 70 days if historical past follows the identical sample.
Bitcoin cycles. Supply: CryptoBirb on X
“Peak odds additionally highest in subsequent 3 months, with the candy spot between Oct 15 & Nov 15, 2025,” CryptoBirb famous.
Timing the cycle peak based mostly on Bitcoin halving occasions yields an analogous projection. The 2012 halving to the 2013 peak took about three hundred and sixty six days; from 2016 to 2017, about 526 days; and from 2020 to 2021, about 548 days. Primarily based on this, the interval from the 2024 halving to the following peak may very well be round 518–580 days.
“This one places subsequent peak between Oct 19 & Nov 20, 2025 (518–580 days),” CryptoBirb added.
To additional help this view, CryptoBirb identified that in previous cycles, October and November have typically been Bitcoin’s strongest development months, significantly on key dates like Monday (October 20, October 27) and Wednesday (October 22, October 29). Amongst these, October 22 is the most certainly window for a value breakout.
Common return by weekday. Supply: CryptoBirb
The overlap between the four-year cycle of the U.S. presidential election and Bitcoin’s provide halving additional strengthens the speculation that the cycle peak will fall between mid-October and mid-November 2025. This sample has repeatedly been noticed when political elements, mixed with provide shortage, gas robust bull runs.
“Subsequent ATH odds strongly cluster Oct 15–Nov 15, 2025 — the place historical past, math, and market momentum align. My guess is we received’t be too far off 4th week of October,” CryptoBirb mentioned.
This aligns with the view of Alphractal’s CEO, who believes that the Bitcoin cycle stays intact and is extremely prone to peak in October, however cautions traders to brace for heightened volatility earlier than the highest is reached.
Bear Market in 2026
From a market psychology perspective, the pre-peak part typically sees excessive euphoria, surging buying and selling volumes, and peak search curiosity for Bitcoin-related key phrases. This part also can function sharp short-term corrections to “shake out” weak palms earlier than costs improve.
Bitcoin has already been experiencing robust upward momentum alongside current corrective pullbacks.
Bitcoin bear market. Supply: CryptoBirb
Following the height, historic traits point out that bear markets sometimes final between 370 and 410 days, with a mean decline of about –66%. If this state of affairs repeats, a downtrend might start in 2026, ushering in a deep correction part earlier than the following accumulation interval begins.
Because of this many analysts advocate an exit technique earlier than the market reverses. Some traders have already deliberate to money out of crypto earlier than December to completely safe their income.
Nonetheless, as BeInCrypto beforehand reported, some specialists imagine the Bitcoin cycle is “useless.” Forecasting threat is tougher now, as a possible institutional panic might redefine future bear markets.
The put up Analyst Reveals When the Present Bitcoin Cycle Will Peak appeared first on BeInCrypto.
