Peter Brandt lately cosigned a brand new Bitcoin (BTC) cycle chart that, in his opinion, exhibits the most certainly situations as to the place BTC might be headed subsequent. The chart traces up all 4 main Bitcoin cycles since 2011, marking the time from bear market lows to peaks and from halving occasions to peaks. The primary three cycles peaked 24, 28 and 33 months after their lows, and the present one is now about 29 months in from the 2022 low.
From the April 2024 halving, we’re 17 months in. Within the final two cycles, that’s proper round when costs reached their highs. If historical past repeats itself, the crimson “peak zone” on the chart will land someplace between September and December of 2025.
Talking about doable value ranges of the height, the eye is on a mid-channel run that would land nearer to $150,000–$180,000.
IMO this chart most captures the most certainly situations for value of Bitcoin https://t.co/pB4HTXzVAD
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) August 15, 2025
Nonetheless, hitting the higher crimson line, which previous cycles have sometimes touched, would imply reaching a value of about $250,000-$280,000.
The chart additionally highlights the development of lowering returns — every cycle positive aspects lower than the earlier one, and peaks take longer to kind. Early cycles noticed positive aspects of 10,000%, 2,000% and 700%, however this run from $15,500 is at about +480%, so the climb could also be smaller this time, although of smaller scale.
Backside line
Brandt’s endorsement of the chart, after all, lends credibility to this concept, given his 50-years expertise of market projecting. If Bitcoin continues to maneuver consistent with these patterns, the subsequent 12-15 months might carry a brand new all-time excessive, even when the proportion achieve is just not as huge as in earlier years.
The one query is whether or not new elements, reminiscent of ETF flows, rates of interest and international liquidity, will change that timeline.
