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Reading: The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket
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Your Crypto News Today > Regulations > The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket
Regulations

The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket

March 12, 2026 3 Min Read
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The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket
  • They urge platforms to forestall manipulation and adjust to the occasion contracts framework.

  • In parallel, Congress is selling a legislation to ban betting on violence and warfare.

In an effort to protect the integrity of economic markets, the US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC) introduced measures to manage event-based prediction markets.

The CFTC Division of Market Supervision issued an in depth technical advisory to Designated Contract Markets (DCM) on Thursday. The group urges the platforms to strengthen its surveillance mechanisms to forestall market manipulation and guarantee strict compliance with the regulatory framework for occasion contracts.

The company led by Michael Selig emphasised that, given the explosive progress in recognition of those platforms, akin to Polymarket, operators should be proactive of their supervisory obligations, making certain that contracts don’t serve as automobiles for illicit actions or disinformation.

In line with Selig, prediction markets are probably the most thrilling improvements in monetary markets. “But for too lengthy, the CFTC has failed to supply steering for these markets utilized by tens of millions of Individuals,” he commented in an X put up.

The regulator emphasised that the steering for CFTC workers “focuses on reminding exchanges of their current obligations underneath the fee’s guidelines and rules, and market contributors usually of the company’s authority relating to insider buying and selling.”

This steering is just a primary step, and my workers is working diligently on a proper regulation (…) We look ahead to listening to the general public’s feedback. We wish to get it proper and ensure we now have the gold commonplace for prediction market regulation right here in the US. Prediction markets are right here to remain, and underneath my management, I’ll shield the company’s jurisdiction over these markets and permit them to thrive in the US.

Michael Selig, chairman of the CFTC.

In parallel with the CFTC’s technical tips, the US Congress is shifting ahead with the introduction of the DEATH BETS Act. This bicameral laws seeks outright prohibit cryptocurrency betting linked to acts of violence, warfare conflicts and the demise of public figures, as reported by CriptoNoticias.

Whereas the CFTC focuses on technical robustness and fraud prevention in occasion contracts (together with sports activities and monetary niches), the legislative department seeks to attract a transparent ethical line on which occasions are appropriate for hypothesis. This double regulatory offensive marks a turning level for the digital asset sector and decentralized predictive markets.

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